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Bloom of Doom VIII: US Figures Stronger than Feared

If you think the title is a contradiction, well, not more so than the idea that debt or subsidies could increase wealth. Where truth can’t win by argument it needs to do so by stealth (that almost rhymes). The President of the United States has published a report on the state of the economy which proves how uneconomical the state has become. From that report you can glean two things, the bad and the ugly: the US economy has greatly deteriorated further and it seems beyond the point of no return.
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Bloom of Doom VII: The Borrower of last Resort

Not so very long ago the idea had firmly taken root that the Fed was the “lender of the last resort”, meaning that if no one else would lend to banks, the Fed would, thus preventing bank runs. Now it always struck CrisisMaven as odd that banks under any circumstance should be so little creditworthy that they couldn’t get credit. After all, aren’t banks the “eponym” of creditworthy, so to speak? But that the Fed one day would need to borrow from these banks no one else would lend to is an irony of fate we need to chew on a little to fathom all its dire implications.

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Bloom of Doom VI: Will China Survive the Crisis?

China. like Japan in the late seventies and 1980s, has been dubbed an economic miracle. What if, like totally bankrupt Japan, this giant just stood on feet of clay, a zombie, a dead man walking? Are any of its statistics to be trusted? Or do we see just another Samuelson fallacy about the resilience and “productivity” of communism? Read more…

Bloom of Doom V: “We have control of the ship, we have a plan”

We have control of the ship, we have a plan” is what Spain’s deputy premier María Teresa Fernández de la Vega is meant to have said in response to mounting fears of sovereign default.

The ECONOMIST: Adding in the deficit  - Debt traps revisited

The ECONOMIST: Adding in the deficit - Debt traps revisited

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Bloom of Doom IV: Safe Assets and Sore Surprises

2010-02-02 2 comments

Many still think sovereign debt is safe (although I’d like to know how many “elder statesmen” still invest in these “assets” themselves today). This is astonishing at the best of times: would you give credit to a boy who still lived at home at the age of 200+ with no income of his own? Oh, of course, I see, you hope his Mum and Dad Taxpayer will foot the bill. So if he goes to the “Royal Casino” and buys chips, looses big time, then even scraps his old, but perfectly serviceable car to get a new one, you still give him more credit and more, and more?

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Bloom of Doom III: Cities Going Bankrupt

2010-02-01 1 comment

Pennsylvania Capital Ponders Bankruptcy” we read in Mish Shedlock‘s commendable blog “MISH’S Global Economic Trend Analysis“. Now, if that doesn’t shed a whole new light on the word “capital“! Read more…

Bloom of Doom II: Of Mortgage Brokers, ARMs, Attrition and Marathons

2010-01-28 5 comments

When first I started looking at dying mortgage banking companies back in 2007 (the time I began looking at the brewing crisis seriously) I stumbled upon the “implode-O-meter” which had begun tracking this new phenomenon in, I believe, 2006. Casualties were then in the two digit range. Soon it became three digits and ever since it has been “good going“, however, the pace slowed considerably in the second half of 2009 if I recall that correctly only to pick up recently. I remember the figures 372, then 373, then 374 to have had a rather long life span.

However, looking today we’re at 378, some jump at last. (Feb. 22nd 2010: 381) Read more…

Bloom of Doom I: British Economy Creeps Out of Recession?

In today’s Wall Street Journal online in an article titled “British Economy Creeps Out of Recession” we read:

“The Office for National Statistics said Tuesday that gross domestic product in the three months to Dec. 31 [2009] increased 0.1% compared with the third quarter. Compared with a year earlier, GDP fell 3.2%. … For the whole of 2009, the economy contracted 4.8%—its biggest output fall on record.” (Emphasis CrisisMaven) Read more…

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