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Bloom of Doom VIII: US Figures Stronger than Feared

If you think the title is a contradiction, well, not more so than the idea that debt or subsidies could increase wealth. Where truth can’t win by argument it needs to do so by stealth (that almost rhymes). The President of the United States has published a report on the state of the economy which proves how uneconomical the state has become. From that report you can glean two things, the bad and the ugly: the US economy has greatly deteriorated further and it seems beyond the point of no return.
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Economic Fallacy VI: The Divisive Multiplier

2010-03-28 5 comments

There is a widespread believe that if governments inject a certain amount of money into “an” or “their” economy, it will miraculously multiply and bear fruit beyond what was invested. This is one of the mainstays of Keynesian economics in that it justifies state subsidies, public works, in short just any intervention by a state in the realm of private enterprise on the expenditure side. Read more…

Economic Musings II: The Euro as a Basket Case

2010-02-24 8 comments

How not to Introduce a New Currency

The Euro has been touted as something of a capstone of the European Unification project. Now it may well prove its stumbling block. How ironic. And at the same time how stupid and humiliating!

How (and why) has it all happened? Read more…

Bloom of Doom VI: Will China Survive the Crisis?

China. like Japan in the late seventies and 1980s, has been dubbed an economic miracle. What if, like totally bankrupt Japan, this giant just stood on feet of clay, a zombie, a dead man walking? Are any of its statistics to be trusted? Or do we see just another Samuelson fallacy about the resilience and “productivity” of communism? Read more…

Bloom of Doom V: “We have control of the ship, we have a plan”

We have control of the ship, we have a plan” is what Spain’s deputy premier María Teresa Fernández de la Vega is meant to have said in response to mounting fears of sovereign default.

The ECONOMIST: Adding in the deficit  - Debt traps revisited

The ECONOMIST: Adding in the deficit - Debt traps revisited

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Bloom of Doom IV: Safe Assets and Sore Surprises

2010-02-02 2 comments

Many still think sovereign debt is safe (although I’d like to know how many “elder statesmen” still invest in these “assets” themselves today). This is astonishing at the best of times: would you give credit to a boy who still lived at home at the age of 200+ with no income of his own? Oh, of course, I see, you hope his Mum and Dad Taxpayer will foot the bill. So if he goes to the “Royal Casino” and buys chips, looses big time, then even scraps his old, but perfectly serviceable car to get a new one, you still give him more credit and more, and more?

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Will Greece’s default bring down the Euro?

… or will the Euro bring down Greece?

(That second question, which by and large I will equally deny, will be more thoroughly dealt with in a future post.)

In an interview in today’s Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, probably Germany‘s most prestigious daily newspaper, titled “Helping Greece would be against the law“, professor of European Law Dr. Matthias Ruffert states unmistakably that each and every European Union treaty that established the European Currency Union and the European currency called the Euro prohibits any form of bailout of the Greek republic, its government or its bonds, be it via direct subsidies, by co-guaranteeing its debt or in any manner conceivable: Read more…

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