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Economic Fallacy VI: The Divisive Multiplier

2010-03-28 5 comments

There is a widespread believe that if governments inject a certain amount of money into “an” or “their” economy, it will miraculously multiply and bear fruit beyond what was invested. This is one of the mainstays of Keynesian economics in that it justifies state subsidies, public works, in short just any intervention by a state in the realm of private enterprise on the expenditure side. Read more…

Bloom of Doom VI: Will China Survive the Crisis?

China. like Japan in the late seventies and 1980s, has been dubbed an economic miracle. What if, like totally bankrupt Japan, this giant just stood on feet of clay, a zombie, a dead man walking? Are any of its statistics to be trusted? Or do we see just another Samuelson fallacy about the resilience and “productivity” of communism? Read more…

Bloom of Doom V: “We have control of the ship, we have a plan”

Bloom of Doom IV: Safe Assets and Sore Surprises

2010-02-02 2 comments

Many still think sovereign debt is safe (although I’d like to know how many “elder statesmen” still invest in these “assets” themselves today). This is astonishing at the best of times: would you give credit to a boy who still lived at home at the age of 200+ with no income of his own? Oh, of course, I see, you hope his Mum and Dad Taxpayer will foot the bill. So if he goes to the “Royal Casino” and buys chips, looses big time, then even scraps his old, but perfectly serviceable car to get a new one, you still give him more credit and more, and more?

Read more…

Bloom of Doom III: Cities Going Bankrupt

2010-02-01 1 comment
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